Oscars 2020: Does Its Historic SAG Win Make ‘Parasite’ a Lock for Best Picture?

by Jeremy Spirogis
The cast of

Watch out as a result of the Oscars is likely to be taken over by Parasite.

Going into this awards season, we’re keen to guess plenty of informal moviegoers hadn’t even heard of Parasite. The South Korean black comedy-thriller-drama from director/co-writer Bong Joon-ho (Snowpiercer, Okja) isn’t precisely what most would contemplate mainstream leisure. Or is it?

At the Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards, Parasite made historical past as the primary foreign-language movie to win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture. The award is actually SAG’s equal to Best Picture and is commonly thought-about a key predictor for who will win on the Oscars.

So, with a SAG Award on its aspect, is Parasite now the bonafide Best Picture frontrunner? Not precisely.

The cast of 'Parasite' at the Screen Actors Guild Awards
The solid of ‘Parasite’ on the Screen Actors Guild Awards | ROBYN BECK/AFP through Getty Images

‘Parasite’ has been a giant winner this awards season

Riding a wave of important buzz — the movie is 99 % Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes — Parasite has been a mainstay all through awards season. However, the movie’s mixture of genres and tones might have made a profitable Oscar bid a problem. After all, the Academy Awards usually overlook movies it considers too offbeat for such a prestigious honor.

Moreover, foreign-language movies not often make it into such high-profile rivalry. More usually than not, such releases — irrespective of how beloved — are relegated to Best Foreign-Language Film, the class simply renamed Best International Feature. In the previous decade, solely 2012’s Amour and 2018’s Roma have made it into the Best Picture race.

So Parasite has already overcome a number of key obstacles on its approach to some main Oscar wins. The movie has even earned six nominations and the excellence of being the primary South Korean film nominated in its classes. No marvel HBO is leaping into the Parasite business, with an upcoming collection primarily based on the movie.

The SAG Award win strengthens its probabilities on the Oscars

Going into the Oscars, insiders consider all types of precursors. These embody awards given out by critics’ teams, extremely publicized ceremonies such because the Golden Globes, and the guilds representing actors, administrators, producers, and writers from inside the trade. That final group of awards-voting our bodies, specifically, can usually be telling, because the academy’s membership usually carries a major overlap.

In that respect, Parasite may very well be in glorious form going into the Oscars. Its solid’s SAG Awards win underscores the movie’s rising momentum proper now. However, within the final decade, solely 4 of the movies that gained the SAG solid award went on to say Best Picture on the Oscars. Support for Parasite is clearly in a groundswell proper now, however followers of the film shouldn’t lock of their Oscar swimming pools simply but.

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Oscar’s largest race might nonetheless go a number of other ways

While Parasite has gained a bit extra traction with its SAG win, the race is much from over proper now. In reality, GoldDerby.com has Parasite in a lifeless warmth with two different Best Picture favorites. Quentin Tarantino’s Once Upon a Time in Hollywood remains to be technically the frontrunner. But other than Brad Pitt’s inevitable Best Supporting Actor win, the movie appears to be shedding floor quick.

More and extra, it seems like Best Picture might come right down to Parasite and Sam Mendes’ conflict drama 1917. Both Tarantino’s movie and 1917 gained Golden Globes — for comedy and drama, respectively — however the latter additionally gained Best Director at that ceremony. Moreover, 1917 beat each Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and Parasite on the Producer’s Guild of America Awards. Since PGA is the biggest guild within the trade, 1917 arguably acquired a much bigger enhance than even Parasite‘s SAG win affords.

Plus, since 1917 is certainly not an ensemble piece, it is smart why it wouldn’t take the large SAG prize. In different phrases, Parasite has solidified its place among the many prime Best Picture gamers. But it’s not over but. Considering how Bong Joon-ho’s film has exceeded all expectations, we all know higher than to guess towards it although. All eyes will probably be on what the director’s and author’s guilds determine at their respective awards ceremonies.

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