Oscars 2020: Why the Best Picture Race Is Down to These Movies

by Jeremy Spirogis
The cast and crew of

The Oscars, the largest evening in films, are almost right here. The 92nd Academy Awards ceremony takes place on Feb. 9. And now we lastly know which movies shall be contending for the highest honors Hollywood has to supply.

The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences has revealed the 2020 Oscar nominations. And although most of the predicted nominees made the reduce, the academy — as all the time — threw in just a few surprises. In explicit, the Best Picture race is de facto heating up.

The cast and crew of '1917'
The forged and crew of ‘1917’ | Kevin Winter/Getty Images

The 9 movies contending for Oscar’s high prize

Best Picture is, in fact, the academy’s high prize, because it goes to the movie Oscar voters think about the 12 months’s finest. Recent winners embrace Green Book, The Shape of Water, Moonlight, and Spotlight. A decade in the past, the academy expanded the Oscars’ greatest class from 5 slots to as many as 10. The 2020 crop consists of 9 of 2019’s most acclaimed releases.

In alphabetical order, right here’s a fast rundown of the movies vying for Best Picture:

  • Ford v Ferrari
  • The Irishman
  • Jojo Rabbit
  • Joker
  • Little Women
  • Marriage Story
  • 1917
  • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  • Parasite

All of the above films have a number of nominations, however Joker leads the pack with 11. The Irishman, 1917 and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood all tie for second place with 10 nominations every. And Jojo Rabbit, Little Women, Marriage Story, and Parasite all claimed six nods. However, wanting a bit nearer on the large image reveals which movies really have the most effective shot of taking Best Picture.

Breaking down the following Best Picture

Although we’ve 9 Best Picture nominees, just a few even have a strong probability at profitable. The academy supplied strong help for Ford v Ferrari, Jojo Rabbit, Little Women, and Marriage Story. But these movies merely don’t have sufficient nominations throughout the largest classes to make a Best Picture win probably.

That leaves 5 different contenders nonetheless within the combine at this 12 months’s Oscars. Both The Irishman and Joker boast nominations within the screenplay, director, and performing classes. Yet, the previous feels prefer it’s misplaced a little bit of momentum, dinged for Robert De Niro’s absence from Best Actor and since it’s a Netflix film. The streaming service has notoriously come into battle with the academy, in spite of everything.

Joker looks like a really actual risk, given its $1 billion field workplace gross and inescapable cultural affect. But it’s nonetheless a comic book ebook film, and we’re undecided the academy is able to take that leap simply but. In some circles inside the trade, Joker stays divisive. So whereas Joaquin Phoenix is the present frontrunner for Best Actor, a Best Picture win looks like a step too far.

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The 2020 Best Picture Oscar goes to…

So that leaves simply three movies because the main contenders for Best Picture. And in keeping with GoldDerby.com — which focuses solely on “predict[ing] Hollywood races” — the chances are of their favor. The films in query? Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, 1917, and Parasite.

Quentin Tarantino has been an academy favourite since Pulp Fiction. Given how a lot the Oscars love films in regards to the film business, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood has an undisputed edge. Its interval 1960s setting and assured Best Supporting Actor win for Brad Pitt solely sharpen the case for why a Tarantino film may lastly snag Best Picture.

As for 1917, nobody severely thought-about the Sam Mendes (American Beauty) film a menace a month in the past. But its Golden Globes victory and field workplace success has pushed it to the entrance of the dialog. A conflict film stylized to seem like one steady shot, 1917 simply may supply the right mixture of emotion and spectacle to nab the Oscars’ greatest prize.

But the true wild card is South Korean director Bong Joon-ho’s Parasite. The movie’s unpredictable tone and social commentary have made it one of many greatest crucial hits of the 12 months. Moreover, the academy has acknowledged it in simply as many classes as Tarantino’s movie, which says so much about how well-regarded it’s. If it does win, Parasite would be the first foreign-language movie to win Best Picture.

We’ll discover out which of those movies will win Best Picture quickly sufficient, because the 92nd Academy Awards air on ABC on Feb. 9, 2020.

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